Tuesday, November 04, 2014

Pundit For A Day ...

This is what I wrote to a friend this morning who wanted my take on today:

Generally, I feel good.

But here's the "no matter what" silver lining:

In the end, we win. If we hold the Senate, gridlock remains in Washington. Republicans continue their petulant bullshit. Voters continue to get further fed up with Republicans. And they lose the White House in 2016.

OR: If we lose the Senate, Republican factions will war with each other. The Tea Party wing is going to push for impeachment. The moderates will push back, understanding the lesson of impeaching Clinton. The Tea Party wing will scream louder, as they've been telling everyone for six years how evil Obama is and that he must be impeached so how can they *not impeach him now that they have the power? Nothing substantive will get done. Obama will veto any extreme shit they try to push through, like repealing the ACA. They won't have the votes to override his veto. Dems can then point to the GOP's "legislation" and say, "See? We told you they'd try to take away your healthcare. We told you they don't want you to earn a living wage even while they give more tax breaks to the rich people. We told you they want to destroy the environment." The GOP founders even further, and they lose the White House in 2016.

And if they lose in 2016, they're gonna lose for a very, very long time to come.

So, we *may lose this battle today. Anything's possible.

But we've already won the war.


Blogger Brian Jones said...

I just hope you're right...

10:52 PM  
Blogger Beth said...

Having President Obama in office has taught me to take the long view.

10:57 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I tend to agree with you second scenario: Boehner has never been able to control the House, and TP-darling Ted Cruz is already gunning to gum up McConnell's works. The GOP will be so preoccupied with its internecine battles that we'll be able to sit back with a big bowl of popcorn and watch the show.

But your equation lacks a key element: White House 2016 campaigning is just around the corner. Expect the usual clown-car full of wannabes, all maneuvering to oversuperconservativize each other.

Either way, fasten your seat belt.

9:17 AM  
Blogger Beth said...

Oh, I know you're correct about the oversuperconservativizing. That's simply implied in everything I write about the GOP these days. :o )

Pop the corn!

10:50 AM  

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